Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 59.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 17.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.91%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-0 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.