Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 63.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 14.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.12%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-0 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.