Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 52.68%. A win for Everton had a probability of 23.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (8.69%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-0 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.