Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 53.29%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 23.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Fulham win was 1-0 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Chelsea in this match.