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Premier League | Gameweek 33
Apr 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Elland Road
Leicester logo

Leeds
1 - 1
Leicester

Sinisterra (20')
Ayling (41'), Rodrigo (45+2'), Roca (53'), Cooper (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vardy (80')
Soumare (52'), Tielemans (67')

The Match

Match Report

Jamie Vardy's late strike rescues a point for Leicester City in a 1-1 draw with Premier League relegation rivals Leeds United at Elland Road.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fulham 2-1 Leeds
Saturday, April 22 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 2-1 Wolves
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.56%) and 0-2 (5.64%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 2-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawLeicester City
34.8% (0.11 0.11) 23.07% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 42.13% (-0.146 -0.15)
Both teams to score 64.62% (-0.105 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.4% (-0.151 -0.15)36.6% (0.151 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.24% (-0.16399999999999 -0.16)58.76% (0.165 0.16)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.71% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)21.29% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.78% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)54.22% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.1% (-0.12100000000001 -0.12)17.9% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.31% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)48.69% (0.21 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 34.8%
    Leicester City 42.13%
    Draw 23.06%
Leeds UnitedDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 7.84% (0.021 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.9% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.56% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.05% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.48% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.35% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 34.8%
1-1 @ 10.14% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.75% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.81% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 2% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.06%
1-2 @ 8.72% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.56% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.64% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 5% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.87% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.23% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.15% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.66% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 42.13%

How you voted: Leeds vs Leicester

Leeds United
29.8%
Draw
17.9%
Leicester City
52.4%
168
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2022 8.15pm
gameweek 12
Leicester
2-0
Leeds
Koch (16' og.), Barnes (35')

Koch (43')
Mar 5, 2022 12.30pm
gameweek 28
Leicester
1-0
Leeds
Barnes (67')
Ndidi (53')

Struijk (9'), Forshaw (71')
Nov 7, 2021 2pm
gameweek 11
Leeds
1-1
Leicester
Raphinha (26')
Raphinha (27')
Barnes (28')
Ndidi (74')
Jan 31, 2021 2pm
gameweek 21
Leicester
1-3
Leeds
Barnes (13')
Dallas (15'), Bamford (70'), Harrison (84')
Ayling (38'), Dallas (62'), Klich (74')
Nov 2, 2020 8pm
gameweek 7
Leeds
1-4
Leicester
Dallas (48')
Dallas (50')
Barnes (2'), Tielemans (21', 90+1'), Vardy (76')
Thomas (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool23175156213556
2Arsenal24148249222750
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest24145540271347
4Manchester CityMan City24125748351341
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle24125742291341
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Aston Villa2410773437-337
9Fulham249963632436
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2481063538-334
11Brentford2494114242031
12Crystal Palace247982830-230
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2485112834-629
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs24831348371127
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
16Everton236892328-526
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369


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