Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 55.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 20.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.