Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 73.89%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 10.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.43%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-2 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.