Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 50.93%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.28%) and 0-2 (5.21%). The likeliest Southampton win was 2-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.