Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Everton had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.63%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.