Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Watford had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.