Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 77.7%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 7.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.71%) and 1-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.82%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (2.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Moreirense |
77.7% | 14.37% | 7.94% |
Both teams to score 46.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.74% | 36.26% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.61% | 58.39% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.42% | 7.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.86% | 27.15% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.61% | 49.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.77% | 84.23% |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Moreirense |
2-0 @ 12.46% 3-0 @ 10.71% 1-0 @ 9.66% 2-1 @ 8.79% 3-1 @ 7.56% 4-0 @ 6.91% 4-1 @ 4.87% 5-0 @ 3.57% 3-2 @ 2.67% 5-1 @ 2.52% 4-2 @ 1.72% 6-0 @ 1.53% 6-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.64% Total : 77.69% | 1-1 @ 6.82% 0-0 @ 3.75% 2-2 @ 3.1% Other @ 0.7% Total : 14.37% | 0-1 @ 2.64% 1-2 @ 2.4% 0-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.96% Total : 7.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 68 | -37 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |