Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9

Dec 6, 2020 at 8pm UK

Estádio da Luz

Benfica
2 - 1
Pacos de Ferreira

Silva (58'), Waldschmidt (90+4')
Otamendi (74')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Reabciuk (24')
Eustaquio (66'), Jordi (72'), Uilton (78'), Pepa (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 65.19%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 15.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
65.19%	19.63%	15.19%

Both teams to score 53.21%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.07%

40.94%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.67%

63.33%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.21%

11.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.01%

37%

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.32%

39.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.65%

76.36%

Score Analysis

Benfica 65.19%

Pacos de Ferreira 15.19%

Draw 19.63%

Benfica	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
2-0 @ 10.69% 1-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 7.62% 3-1 @ 7.04% 4-0 @ 4.07% 4-1 @ 3.77% 3-2 @ 3.26% 5-0 @ 1.74% 4-2 @ 1.74% 5-1 @ 1.61% Other @ 3.76% Total : 65.19%	1-1 @ 9.25% 0-0 @ 4.68% 2-2 @ 4.57% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.63%	0-1 @ 4.32% 1-2 @ 4.27% 0-2 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.41% 1-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.87% Total : 15.19%