Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 79.62%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 6.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.34%) and 1-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.4%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Tondela |
79.62% | 13.47% | 6.91% |
Both teams to score 44.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.1% | 35.9% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42% | 57.99% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.89% | 7.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.11% | 25.89% |
Tondela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.2% | 51.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.13% | 85.87% |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Tondela |
2-0 @ 12.87% 3-0 @ 11.34% 1-0 @ 9.73% 2-1 @ 8.47% 4-0 @ 7.51% 3-1 @ 7.47% 4-1 @ 4.94% 5-0 @ 3.97% 5-1 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 2.46% 6-0 @ 1.75% 4-2 @ 1.62% 6-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.73% Total : 79.61% | 1-1 @ 6.4% 0-0 @ 3.68% 2-2 @ 2.78% Other @ 0.6% Total : 13.47% | 0-1 @ 2.42% 1-2 @ 2.11% Other @ 2.39% Total : 6.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
3 | Porto | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 15 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 4 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
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