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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 8, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal
Arouca

Braga
1 - 0
Arouca

Horta (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Nunes (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

Last Six:
Last Game: Famalicao 3-2 Braga
Sunday, May 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Arouca

Last Six:
Last Game: Arouca 0-0 Belenenses
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 1-1 Arouca

 Fourth-placed Braga will be playing only for pride having already secured their places in next season's Conference League. Buoyed by their victory over Portimonense, we are backing Arouca to build on that performance and force a share of the spoils on Sunday to keep their survival hopes alive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 60.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 17.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Braga in this match.

Result
BragaDrawArouca
60.57% (0.148 0.15) 22.23% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06) 17.2% (-0.084 -0.08)
Both teams to score 49.18% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.42% (0.131 0.13)48.59% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.29% (0.118 0.12)70.71% (-0.119 -0.12)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.4% (0.092999999999989 0.09)15.6% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.42% (0.175 0.18)44.58% (-0.175 -0.17)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.27% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)41.74% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.8% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)78.2% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Braga 60.56%
    Arouca 17.2%
    Draw 22.22%
BragaDrawArouca
1-0 @ 12.09% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 11.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.96% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.08% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.23% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.83% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.66% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.2% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 60.56%
1-1 @ 10.56% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.51% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 22.22%
0-1 @ 5.69% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 4.62% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.49% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.35% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 17.2%

How you voted: Braga vs Arouca

Braga
81.8%
Draw
18.2%
Arouca
0.0%
22
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2021 7pm
Arouca
0-6
Braga

Valderrama (9'), Evangelista (45+4')
Oliveira (5', 12', 26'), Medeiros (71' pen.), Fernandes (74', 80')
Couto (54'), Mineiro (72')
Mar 4, 2017 4pm
Braga
3-1
Arouca
Fonte (12', 69'), Battaglia (73')
Vukcevic (53')
Mateus (17')
Kuca (15'), Valente (27'), Gonzalez (75'), Nelsinho (83')
Oct 2, 2016 8.15pm
Arouca
1-1
Braga
Gonzalez (85')
Valente (11'), Carleto (28'), Crivellaro (92')
Santos (49')
Djavan (22'), Rosic (39'), Matheus (84')
Feb 27, 2016 6.30pm
Arouca
0-0
Braga

Adilson (54'), Gege (56'), Bernardes (84')

Augusto Carvalho Souza (40'), Santos (56')
Fonte (57'), Djavan (64')
Oct 4, 2015 6pm
Braga
0-0
Arouca

Goiano (59'), Ferreira (65'), Boly (88')

Moreira (40'), Basto (58'), Rodrigues (70'), Valente (83'), Dabo (92')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1211013963333
2Porto1210023082230
3Benfica119113072328
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara128041512324
5Braga127232011923
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes126331611521
7FamalicaoFamalicao124531311217
8MoreirenseMoreirense125251717017
9Rio AveRio Ave124351322-915
10Casa Pia123451016-613
11Estoril PraiaEstoril123451017-713
12BoavistaBoavista12246715-810
13Gil Vicente122461423-910
14AVS12246920-1110
15Nacional11236615-99
16Estrela Amadora122371021-119
17SC FarenseFarense12228618-128
18AroucaArouca12228621-158
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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