Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 68.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 11.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.88%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.