Braga

2 - 1

Portimonense

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 67.78%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 12.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.26%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.