Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 59.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 16.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.38%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.