Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 66.23%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 14.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Tondela |
66.23% | 19.57% | 14.21% |
Both teams to score 50.88% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.25% | 42.75% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.84% | 65.15% |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.96% | 12.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.48% | 37.52% |
Tondela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.84% | 42.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.43% | 78.57% |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Tondela |
2-0 @ 11.37% 1-0 @ 10.74% 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 8.03% 3-1 @ 6.93% 4-0 @ 4.25% 4-1 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 2.99% 5-0 @ 1.8% 4-2 @ 1.59% 5-1 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.47% Total : 66.22% | 1-1 @ 9.28% 0-0 @ 5.07% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.97% Total : 19.57% | 0-1 @ 4.38% 1-2 @ 4.01% 0-2 @ 1.89% 2-3 @ 1.22% 1-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.55% Total : 14.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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