Braga1 - 0Guimaraes
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, August 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 5 | 10 | 15 |
| 2 | Braga | 4 | 14 | 10 |
| 3 | Porto | 4 | 6 | 9 |
Monday, August 29 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Sporting Lisbon | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Boavista | 4 | -3 | 6 |
We said: Braga 2-0 Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga have flown out of the blocks this season and will head into the weekend in sky-high confidence. They take on an out-of-sorts Vitoria de Guimaraes side who have suffered a slump and we are backing Os Arcebispos to come away with all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 60.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 17.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Braga in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Braga.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
60.09% ( 2.24) | 22.27% ( -0.74) | 17.65% ( -1.49) |
| Both teams to score 49.91% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.96% ( 0.88) | 48.05% ( -0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.79% ( 0.81) | 70.22% ( -0.8) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.43% ( 1.07) | 15.58% ( -1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.47% ( 1.95) | 44.54% ( -1.94) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.12% ( -1.2) | 40.88% ( 1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.55% ( -1.09) | 77.45% ( 1.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11% ( 0.39)2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.48)3-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.24)4-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.33)4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.16)5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.23% Total : 60.08% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.35) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.91% Total : 22.27% | 0-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.41) 1-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.32)0-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.94% Total : 17.65% |
