Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (11.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.