Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 73.14%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Desportivo das Aves had a probability of 8.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.67%) and 0-3 (10.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Desportivo das Aves win it was 1-0 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.