Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 49.23%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 24.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.47%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-0 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.