Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.