Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 57.12%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 20.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.63%) and 0-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Famalicao win it was 2-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
20.83% | 22.05% | 57.12% |
Both teams to score 56.15% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.52% | 42.48% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.12% | 64.88% |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.79% | 34.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.1% | 70.9% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.34% | 14.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.2% | 42.8% |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
2-1 @ 5.54% 1-0 @ 5.38% 2-0 @ 2.89% 3-1 @ 1.98% 3-2 @ 1.9% 3-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.11% Total : 20.83% | 1-1 @ 10.32% 2-2 @ 5.32% 0-0 @ 5.01% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.04% | 1-2 @ 9.92% 0-1 @ 9.63% 0-2 @ 9.24% 1-3 @ 6.35% 0-3 @ 5.92% 2-3 @ 3.41% 1-4 @ 3.05% 0-4 @ 2.84% 2-4 @ 1.63% 1-5 @ 1.17% 0-5 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.88% Total : 57.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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