Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 45.68%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 27.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.84%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Maritimo |
45.68% | 27.17% | 27.15% |
Both teams to score 47.26% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.46% | 57.54% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.68% | 78.32% |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.86% | 25.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.15% | 59.85% |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.13% | 36.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.34% | 73.66% |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Maritimo |
1-0 @ 12.79% 2-0 @ 8.84% 2-1 @ 8.82% 3-0 @ 4.07% 3-1 @ 4.06% 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-0 @ 1.4% 4-1 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.28% Total : 45.67% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 9.27% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 9.25% 1-2 @ 6.37% 0-2 @ 4.61% 1-3 @ 2.12% 0-3 @ 1.53% 2-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 1.8% Total : 27.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 23 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 58 | 13 | 45 | 62 |
2 | Porto | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 52 | 15 | 37 | 54 |
3 | Braga | 22 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 48 | 22 | 26 | 49 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 23 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 47 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 40 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 34 |
7 | Casa Pia | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 32 |
8 | BoavistaBoavista | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 30 |
9 | Vizela | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 29 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 29 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 27 |
12 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 27 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 26 |
14 | ChavesChaves | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 26 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 22 |
16 | Maritimo | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 17 | 42 | -25 | 16 |
17 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 17 | 35 | -18 | 15 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 22 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 40 | -24 | 12 |
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