Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.