Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Vizela |
| 42.58% | 26.44% | 30.98% |
| Both teams to score 51.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.95% | 53.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.36% | 74.64% |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.32% | 24.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.78% | 59.22% |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.43% | 31.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.03% | 67.97% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Vizela |
| 1-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 8.79% 2-0 @ 7.63% 3-1 @ 4.1% 3-0 @ 3.56% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.56% Total : 42.58% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 7.79% 2-2 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 8.98% 1-2 @ 7.25% 0-2 @ 5.18% 1-3 @ 2.79% 0-3 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.95% Other @ 2.85% Total : 30.98% |