Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 68.53%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 11.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.56%) and 0-3 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Maritimo | Draw | Porto |
11.07% | 20.4% | 68.53% |
Both teams to score 39.39% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.72% | 53.27% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.17% | 74.83% |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.12% | 53.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.8% | 87.2% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.41% | 14.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.33% | 42.67% |
Score Analysis |
Maritimo | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 4.86% 2-1 @ 2.89% 2-0 @ 1.5% Other @ 1.81% Total : 11.07% | 1-1 @ 9.36% 0-0 @ 7.86% 2-2 @ 2.79% Other @ 0.4% Total : 20.4% | 0-1 @ 15.12% 0-2 @ 14.56% 0-3 @ 9.34% 1-2 @ 9.01% 1-3 @ 5.78% 0-4 @ 4.5% 1-4 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 1.79% 0-5 @ 1.73% 1-5 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.84% Total : 68.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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