Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.03%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 11.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.82%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.