Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.