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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Nacional
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Mar 12, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Maritimo

Nacional
1 - 2
Maritimo

Gorre (44')
Bessa (70'), Kal (74'), Gorre (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pinho (58', 65')
Pinho (69'), Costa (90'), Abedzadeh (90+3'), Sassa (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 36.96%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.61%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (11.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maritimo would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawMaritimo
34.07%28.97%36.96%
Both teams to score 44.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.24%61.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.44%81.56%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.06%33.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.39%70.61%
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.96%32.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.5%68.5%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 34.06%
    Maritimo 36.96%
    Draw 28.96%
NacionalDrawMaritimo
1-0 @ 11.74%
2-1 @ 7.23%
2-0 @ 6.35%
3-1 @ 2.6%
3-0 @ 2.29%
3-2 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 34.06%
1-1 @ 13.37%
0-0 @ 10.87%
2-2 @ 4.11%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.96%
0-1 @ 12.37%
1-2 @ 7.61%
0-2 @ 7.04%
1-3 @ 2.89%
0-3 @ 2.67%
2-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 36.96%

How you voted: Nacional vs Maritimo

Nacional
53.6%
Draw
28.6%
Maritimo
17.9%
28
Head to Head
Oct 31, 2020 8.30pm
Gameweek 6
Maritimo
0-0
Nacional
Junior (25')
Azouni (12'), Thill (21'), Ibrahim Alhassan (29')
Mar 31, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 27
Maritimo
3-2
Nacional
Costa (5'), Joel (16' pen.), Getterson (35')
Vukovic (22'), Pelagio (85')
Camacho (11' pen.), Rochez (87' pen.)
Jota (60'), Rochez (66'), Camacho (84')
Nov 10, 2018 6pm
Gameweek 10
Nacional
1-0
Maritimo
Camacho (65')
Julio (76'), Marakis (81'), Witi (91')

Junior (52'), Vukovic (61')
Feb 20, 2017 8pm
Maritimo
0-0
Nacional
Fransergio (63'), Costa (81')
Washington (63'), Willyan (67'), Correia (83')
Sep 16, 2016 8.30pm
Nacional
2-0
Maritimo
Agra (31'), Bonilla (96')
Figueiredo (62')

Raul (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1010003533230
2Porto109012742327
3Benfica97112461822
4Braga106221771020
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara96031310318
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes105321210218
7FamalicaoFamalicao10442129316
8MoreirenseMoreirense104241212014
9Casa Pia10334913-412
10Gil Vicente102441216-410
11BoavistaBoavista10235713-69
12Estoril PraiaEstoril10235816-89
13AVS10235919-109
14Rio AveRio Ave10235820-129
15AroucaArouca10217619-137
16Estrela Amadora10136820-126
17Nacional8125413-95
18SC FarenseFarense10118417-134
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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