Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21

Feb 5, 2022 at 6pm UK

Mata Real

Pacos de Ferreira
1 - 1
Portimonense

Possignolo (15' og.)
Pires (40'), Santos (41'), Delgado (60'), Antunes (84'), Carlos (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Junior (90+1')
Possignolo (22'), Pedrao (56'), Sapara (68'), Luquinhas (85'), Junior (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Pacos de Ferreira 2-0 Portimonense

Both sides have seen their form dip since the start of the year and will be looking to find their feet. The hosts head into the game unbeaten in their last five games against the visitors, claiming two wins and three draws in that time. While we expect a thrilling contest, we are tipping the hosts to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Portimonense
44.26%	27.05%	28.69%

Both teams to score 48.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.68%

56.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.65%

77.35%

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.7%

25.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.93%

60.07%

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.02%

34.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.28%

71.72%

Score Analysis

Pacos de Ferreira 44.26%

Portimonense 28.69%

Draw 27.04%

Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Portimonense
1-0 @ 12.16% 2-1 @ 8.78% 2-0 @ 8.36% 3-1 @ 4.02% 3-0 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.3% Total : 44.26%	1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.85% 2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.04%	0-1 @ 9.3% 1-2 @ 6.71% 0-2 @ 4.88% 1-3 @ 2.35% 0-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.13% Total : 28.69%