Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 43.86%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 27.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.95%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Boavista |
43.86% | 28.97% | 27.16% |
Both teams to score 42.53% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.47% | 63.53% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.15% | 82.85% |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.11% | 28.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.24% | 64.76% |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.8% | 40.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.17% | 76.83% |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 14.41% 2-0 @ 8.95% 2-1 @ 8.16% 3-0 @ 3.71% 3-1 @ 3.38% 3-2 @ 1.54% 4-0 @ 1.15% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.51% Total : 43.85% | 1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 11.61% 2-2 @ 3.72% Other @ 0.5% Total : 28.97% | 0-1 @ 10.58% 1-2 @ 5.99% 0-2 @ 4.82% 1-3 @ 1.82% 0-3 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.36% Total : 27.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |