Both sides have enjoyed a decent campaign so far and find themselves in the top half of the table after the first half of the season. While Maritimo will be looking to end their poor run against the hosts, they have struggled on the road this season, claiming one win from eight games. We predict a thrilling contest with Portimonense grinding out a narrow win in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 49.88%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 23.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
