Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 76.65%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 7.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.41%) and 3-0 (11.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.38%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (3.15%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Belenenses |
76.65% | 15.68% | 7.67% |
Both teams to score 40.52% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.29% | 43.71% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.89% | 66.11% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.41% | 9.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.91% | 32.09% |
Belenenses Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.82% | 55.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.01% | 87.99% |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Belenenses |
2-0 @ 14.54% 1-0 @ 12.41% 3-0 @ 11.36% 2-1 @ 8.65% 3-1 @ 6.76% 4-0 @ 6.66% 4-1 @ 3.96% 5-0 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 2.01% 5-1 @ 1.86% 6-0 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.92% Total : 76.64% | 1-1 @ 7.38% 0-0 @ 5.3% 2-2 @ 2.57% Other @ 0.44% Total : 15.68% | 0-1 @ 3.15% 1-2 @ 2.19% 0-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.39% Total : 7.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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