Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Benfica win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Benfica |
39.59% | 26.28% | 34.13% |
Both teams to score 53.03% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.41% | 51.59% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.62% | 73.38% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.42% | 25.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.55% | 60.45% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.26% | 28.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.42% | 64.58% |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 6.83% 3-1 @ 3.87% 3-0 @ 3.11% 3-2 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.44% Total : 39.59% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.35% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 9.17% 1-2 @ 7.79% 0-2 @ 5.71% 1-3 @ 3.24% 0-3 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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