MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:59:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 30, 2021 at 9pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
Benfica

Porto
3 - 1
Benfica

Vieira (34'), Pepe (37'), Taremi (69')
Cardoso (30'), Pepe (51'), Martinez (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Yaremchuk (46')
Almeida (8'), Vertonghen (25'), Goncalves (90+3'), Gilberto (90+5')
Almeida (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Porto 2-1 Benfica

Porto head into Thursday's game in outstanding form in the league, claiming 10 straight victories, with four of the last five coming with clean sheets. They have avoided defeat in each of their last seven meetings with Benfica, and considering their current form, we predict this run will continue with the visitors falling to yet another defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 52.95%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 24.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawBenfica
52.95%22.81%24.23%
Both teams to score 58.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.04%41.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.64%64.36%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.13%15.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.93%45.07%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.12%30.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.83%67.16%
Score Analysis
    Porto 52.95%
    Benfica 24.23%
    Draw 22.8%
PortoDrawBenfica
2-1 @ 9.76%
1-0 @ 9.02%
2-0 @ 8.3%
3-1 @ 5.99%
3-0 @ 5.1%
3-2 @ 3.52%
4-1 @ 2.76%
4-0 @ 2.35%
4-2 @ 1.62%
5-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 52.95%
1-1 @ 10.59%
2-2 @ 5.73%
0-0 @ 4.9%
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.8%
1-2 @ 6.23%
0-1 @ 5.76%
0-2 @ 3.38%
1-3 @ 2.44%
2-3 @ 2.25%
0-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 24.23%

How you voted: Porto vs Benfica

Porto
80.1%
Draw
13.5%
Benfica
6.4%
141
Head to Head
May 6, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 31
Benfica
1-1
Porto
Everton (23')
Weigl (31'), Verissimo (58'), Silva (60'), Leite (71'), Gabriel (81'), Pizzi (81'), Seferovic (83'), Goncalves (89')
Uribe (75')
Oliveira (15'), Pepe (64'), Mbemba (81')
Jan 15, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 14
Porto
1-1
Benfica
Taremi (25')
Pepe (51'), Corona (64'), Marega (73'), Marchesin (90+5')
Taremi (73')
Grimaldo (17')
Pizzi (50'), Tavares (54'), Chiquinho (78'), Vertonghen (84')
Dec 23, 2020 8.45pm
Final
Porto
2-0
Benfica
Oliveira (25' pen.), Diaz (90')
Pepe (36'), Oliveira (53'), Mbemba (58')

Weigl (30'), Seferovic (90+3')
Aug 1, 2020 8.45pm
Final
Benfica
1-2
Porto
Vinicius (84' pen.)
Dias (12'), Jardel (44'), Weigl (46'), Vinicius (75')
Mbemba (47', 58')
Diaz (9'), Telles (90')
Diaz (38')
Feb 8, 2020 8.30pm
Gameweek 20
Porto
3-2
Benfica
Oliveira (10'), Telles (38' pen.), Dias (44' og.)
Otavio (27'), Tiquinho (38'), Oliveira (84'), Marchesin (86')
Vinicius (18', 50')
Taarabt (27'), Weigl (30'), Ferro (37'), Pizzi (45'), Vlachodimos (64'), Lage (98')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!