Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.