Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 54.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Desportivo das Aves had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Desportivo das Aves win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.