Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 45.3%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 26.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.