Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 64.29%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 14.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.11%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Porto |
14.68% | 21.03% | 64.29% |
Both teams to score 47.34% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.89% | 48.12% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.72% | 70.28% |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.21% | 44.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.23% | 80.77% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.75% | 14.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.98% | 42.02% |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 5.13% 2-1 @ 4.01% 2-0 @ 2.06% 3-1 @ 1.07% 3-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.36% Total : 14.68% | 1-1 @ 9.99% 0-0 @ 6.39% 2-2 @ 3.91% Other @ 0.75% Total : 21.03% | 0-1 @ 12.43% 0-2 @ 12.11% 1-2 @ 9.73% 0-3 @ 7.87% 1-3 @ 6.32% 0-4 @ 3.83% 1-4 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 2.54% 0-5 @ 1.49% 2-4 @ 1.24% 1-5 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.44% Total : 64.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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