Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 65.44%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 14.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.04%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
14.14% | 20.42% | 65.44% |
Both teams to score 47.91% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.37% | 46.63% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.1% | 68.9% |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.34% | 44.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.34% | 80.66% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.57% | 13.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.59% | 40.41% |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 4.84% 2-1 @ 3.91% 2-0 @ 1.95% 3-2 @ 1.06% 3-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.34% Total : 14.14% | 1-1 @ 9.71% 0-0 @ 6% 2-2 @ 3.93% Other @ 0.78% Total : 20.42% | 0-2 @ 12.08% 0-1 @ 12.04% 1-2 @ 9.74% 0-3 @ 8.09% 1-3 @ 6.52% 0-4 @ 4.06% 1-4 @ 3.27% 2-3 @ 2.63% 0-5 @ 1.63% 2-4 @ 1.32% 1-5 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.73% Total : 65.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 47 |
2 | Benfica | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 14 | 29 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 41 |
4 | Braga | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 32 |
6 | Casa Pia | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 24 |
9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 23 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 23 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 22 |
12 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 |
13 | Nacional | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 19 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 19 |
15 | AVS | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 17 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |