Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 36.53%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.38%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Tondela win was 1-0 (12.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.