Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 50.91%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 21.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match.