Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Hajduk Split had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Hajduk Split win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for HNK Rijeka in this match.