MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 20:01:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 19
Dec 16, 2023 at 1.50pm UK
Stadion Kranjceviceva

NK Lokomotiva
3 - 0
Istra 1961

Gorican (43'), Zilinski (61'), Mudrazija (90+2')
Krivak (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Erceg (90+3')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Lokomotiva and NK Istra 1961.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 1-1 Hajduk Split
Friday, December 8 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 0-0 Istra 1961
Saturday, December 9 at 1.50pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Lokomotiva win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a NK Lokomotiva win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest NK Istra 1961 win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NK Lokomotiva would win this match.

Result
NK LokomotivaDrawNK Istra 1961
40.61% (0.106 0.11) 25.88% (0.052 0.05) 33.5% (-0.157 -0.16)
Both teams to score 54.2% (-0.214 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.98% (-0.254 -0.25)50.02% (0.256 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28% (-0.229 -0.23)72% (0.229 0.23)
NK Lokomotiva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.67% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)24.33% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.28% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)58.72% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
NK Istra 1961 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.62% (-0.224 -0.22)28.37% (0.226 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.88% (-0.27999999999999 -0.28)64.11% (0.282 0.28)
Score Analysis
    NK Lokomotiva 40.61%
    NK Istra 1961 33.51%
    Draw 25.88%
NK LokomotivaDrawNK Istra 1961
1-0 @ 9.76% (0.084 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.69% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 6.9% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.25% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 40.61%
1-1 @ 12.29% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.9% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 8.7% (0.036 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.25% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 33.51%

Head to Head
Oct 2, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 10
Istra 1961
0-4
NK Lokomotiva

Kadusic (78'), Josipovic (86')
Soticek (22', 90+2'), Mudrazija (30'), Tuci (83')
Kanizaj (82')
Jul 23, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 1
NK Lokomotiva
1-1
Istra 1961
Bubanja (69')
Mersinaj (74'), Milicevic (75')
Erceg (12')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1HNK RijekaRijeka179802451935
2Hajduk Split17105226121435
3Dinamo Zagreb1885535241129
4Osijek187562823526
5NK VarazdinVarazdin186841613326
6Slaven Koprivnica185582126-520
7NK Lokomotiva185492328-519
8NK Istra 1961Istra 1961184771829-1119
9Sibenik1844101533-1816
10GoricaGorica1843111629-1315


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