MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 16:47:45| >> :60:457:457:
Annan Athletic
Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Galabank
Kelty Hearts

Annan
1 - 2
Kelty Hearts

Goss (63' pen.)
Goss (38'), Lyon (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Low (58' pen.), Barjonas (90+3')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Annan Athletic and Kelty Hearts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Annan Athletic

Last Six:
Last Game: Annan 2-2 East Fife
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Kelty Hearts

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Peterhead 2-1 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 48.25%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Annan AthleticDrawKelty Hearts
48.25% (4.898 4.9) 23.34% (-0.383 -0.38) 28.4% (-4.517 -4.52)
Both teams to score 60.3% (-1.217 -1.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.1% (-0.496 -0.5)40.9% (0.494 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.71% (-0.509 -0.51)63.28% (0.506 0.51)
Annan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.82% (1.766 1.77)17.17% (-1.768 -1.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.56% (3.023 3.02)47.43% (-3.026 -3.03)
Kelty Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.81% (-3.088 -3.09)27.19% (3.086 3.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.4% (-4.208 -4.21)62.6% (4.205 4.21)
Score Analysis
    Annan Athletic 48.25%
    Kelty Hearts 28.4%
    Draw 23.34%
Annan AthleticDrawKelty Hearts
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.446 0.45)
1-0 @ 8.23% (0.631 0.63)
2-0 @ 7.25% (0.928 0.93)
3-1 @ 5.54% (0.556 0.56)
3-0 @ 4.26% (0.751 0.75)
3-2 @ 3.61% (0.061 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.44% (0.367 0.37)
4-0 @ 1.87% (0.416 0.42)
4-2 @ 1.59% (0.114 0.11)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 48.25%
1-1 @ 10.71% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.15% (-0.251 -0.25)
0-0 @ 4.67% (0.104 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.34%
1-2 @ 6.98% (-0.712 -0.71)
0-1 @ 6.08% (-0.414 -0.41)
0-2 @ 3.96% (-0.662 -0.66)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.618 -0.62)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.366 -0.37)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.473 -0.47)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.312 -0.31)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 28.4%

Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Annan
1-2
Kelty Hearts
Reilly (22' og.)
Barnes (36')
Higginbotham (30'), Agyeman (45+1')
Cameron (79')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Kelty Hearts
3-1
Annan
Moxon (5' og.), Barjonas (16'), Cardle (72')
Philp (58'), Austin (90+2')
McCartney (78')
Moxon (37'), Douglas (52'), Lowdon (84'), Swinglehurst (90')
Dec 26, 2021 1pm
Annan
5-1
Kelty Hearts
Moxon (44'), Garrity (46'), Wallace (76', 87' pen., 90+1')
Austin (36')
Forster (45')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Kelty Hearts
2-1
Annan
Barjonas (37'), Higginbotham (74')
Barjonas (30')
Wallace (43')
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
Annan
1-1
Kelty Hearts
 Kelty Hearts win 6-5 on penalties
Currie (20')
Ballantyne (56'), Douglas (64'), Wilkie (72'), McLean (91')
Ashe (69')
Ashe (60')
Carstairs (22')
rhs 2.0
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