Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 74.55%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for East Fife had a probability of 8.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12%) and 3-0 (10.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a East Fife win it was 0-1 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.