MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 11:42:00| >> :60:498:498:
Arbroath
Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
Gayfield Park
East Fife

Arbroath
2 - 1
East Fife

McKenna (10' pen.), Hilson (12')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Healy (90')
Murdoch (90+4')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Arbroath and East Fife.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morton 1-2 Arbroath
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: East Fife 1-2 Stenhousemuir
Tuesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 74.55%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for East Fife had a probability of 8.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12%) and 3-0 (10.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a East Fife win it was 0-1 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.

Result
ArbroathDrawEast Fife
74.55% (0.44 0.44) 16.55% (-0.507 -0.51) 8.9% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 43.15% (1.927 1.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.6% (2.465 2.47)43.4% (-2.469 -2.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.2% (2.382 2.38)65.8% (-2.386 -2.39)
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.96% (0.759 0.76)10.04% (-0.764 -0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.89% (1.727 1.73)33.11% (-1.731 -1.73)
East Fife Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.96% (1.751 1.75)52.04% (-1.754 -1.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.97% (1.114 1.11)86.03% (-1.119 -1.12)
Score Analysis
    Arbroath 74.53%
    East Fife 8.9%
    Draw 16.55%
ArbroathDrawEast Fife
2-0 @ 13.8% (-0.58 -0.58)
1-0 @ 12% (-0.93 -0.93)
3-0 @ 10.57% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.093 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.91% (0.29 0.29)
4-0 @ 6.08% (0.14 0.14)
4-1 @ 3.97% (0.288 0.29)
5-0 @ 2.8% (0.152 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.204 0.2)
5-1 @ 1.83% (0.186 0.19)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.155 0.16)
6-0 @ 1.07% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 74.53%
1-1 @ 7.84% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-0 @ 5.22% (-0.588 -0.59)
2-2 @ 2.95% (0.179 0.18)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 16.55%
0-1 @ 3.41% (-0.191 -0.19)
1-2 @ 2.56% (0.076 0.08)
0-2 @ 1.11% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 8.9%

Head to Head
Jul 14, 2021 7.45pm
Mar 16, 2019 3pm
Arbroath
2-1
East Fife
McKenna (27'), Linn (50')
Dowds (28')
Dunsmore (69'), Davidson (85'), Bell (89')
Feb 26, 2019 7.45pm
East Fife
1-1
Arbroath
Currie (6')
Davidson (9'), Dunsmore (83')
Donnelly (25')
McKenna (36'), Little (69')
Nov 3, 2018 3pm
Arbroath
1-0
East Fife
McKenna (55')
Gold (32'), Wallace (34'), McKenna (88')

Dunlop (1'), Meggatt (26'), Smith (72')
Aug 25, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
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