Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 70.68%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Dundee United Reserves had a probability of 13.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 3-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.97%), while for a Dundee United Reserves win it was 1-2 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.