Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 80.33%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for FC Tambov had a probability of 5.37%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.23%) and 3-0 (13.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.37%), while for a FC Tambov win it was 0-1 (2.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Akhmat Grozny would win this match.